文章来源:网友推荐    作者:

With the price of oil now less than $80 a barrel, motorists throughout the United States are benefiting from gas prices below $3 a gallon. However, the decreasing price of gas has a downside for the hydraulic fracturing industry in the United States.


North Dakota’s economy is on fire, thanks to developments in technology that allow oil extraction from shale formations deep below the surface.


The process to extract that oil, known as hydraulic fracturing, or “fracking,” is thesource of the economic boom for states on top of these deposits.


Now, that prosperity is trickling down to the rest of the country.


“Fracking is the miracle that has brought down gasoline prices,” said Phil Flynn, a seniormarket analyst with the PRICE Futures Group. Flynn said the rise in the number of wells, and developing and expanding the system to refine and transport shale oil, are game changers for U.S. energy independence.

“水力压裂是个奇迹,压低了汽油价格。” 菲尔?弗林(Phil Flynn)说。弗林是普赖斯期货集团(Price Futures Group)的高级市场分析员。他表示油井的增多、提炼和运输页岩油的体系的发展和扩大,对美国能源独立来说是个“转折点”。

“The quality of the oil produces more gasoline than your traditional barrel of oil, and refiners in the U.S. are rising to the occasion to take advantage of this,” said Flynn.

他说: “这种油的品质可以比传统的一桶油要产出更多的汽油。美国的炼油商也开始利用这一优势。”

Austan Goolsbee, a Professor of Economics at the University of Chicago’s Booth School of Business, said that while production of oil and natural gas is dramatically higher in the United States, there is a downside.

芝加哥大学布斯商学院的经济学教授奥斯坦?古尔斯比(Austan Goolsbee)说,虽然美国石油和天然气产量提高了,但这也有不好的一面。

“There is one issue -- the cost of production in North America tends to be higher than in the cheapest places like Saudi Arabia,” said Goolsbee.


And Saudi Arabia knows this, which is why -- according to Flynn -- OPEC, or the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries, of which Saudi Arabia is a leading member, has so far declined to curb production to maintain high market share.

而且,沙特阿拉伯心知肚明。菲尔?弗林说,因此,沙特是重要成员的“欧佩克”(OPEC),也就是“石油输出国组织” (Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries) 一直拒绝限产,以维持高市场份额。

“They’re trying to put the shale gas revolution on hold. They’re trying to flood themarket with oil and drive prices even lower in the hopes the frackers will stop fracking,” said Flynn.


“On average, I would say that, once you start getting below a sustained $75 a barrel for oil, there would be a lot of domestic producers in the U.S. who say we can’t live at that sustained price.  If the price went to $65 a barrel, and stayed there for several years, a lot of guys would go out of business,” explained Goolsbee.


Goolsbee said there are several other factors contributing to lower gas prices, including the increase in the number of fuel-efficient vehicles on the road and less demand from major consumers.


“Some of the biggest users of energy, like China, have slowed down. Their growth rate has slowed down pretty substantially, so there has been less demand,” he said.


Which is part of the reason Flynn thinks lower gas prices are here to stay.


“The combination of more fuel efficiency, more oil production, more refining capacity means lower gas prices for a long time to come,” said Flynn.


The American Automobile Association, or AAA, pegs the current average cost of gasoline in the U.S. at $2.85 a gallon - welcome news to motorists gearing up for long drives during the Thanksgiving holiday.